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Jumat, 11 Januari 2019

PDF Download The Sale of a Lifetime: How the Great Bubble Burst of 2017-2019 Can Make You Rich

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Listening Length: 7 hours and 9 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Gildan Media, LLC

Audible.com Release Date: January 3, 2017

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Language: English, English

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I have read most of Dent's books and enjoyed them. This is his weakest by far. I had high hopes, but was left vey disappointed.Dent made his name on demographics and his spending cycle, which are good tools for directionality but fail to match actual events. He tried to cover this by adding more cycles which stretches reality too far. I have a real problem with his supposed geopolitical cycle and his argument in the book is very poorly done. He has multiple pages of current negative events, but blows off the period of 1983 to 2000 by saying nothing bad happened; ignoring Beirut, Chernobyl, Columbine, Iraq invasion, Tinammen Square, etc. His innovation cycle is supported by some slight of hand that just shows the weakness of the basic argument. All he seems to have left is the sun spot cycle, with such a large time variation to negate its value and no real reason for it to have any effect. His long term cycles are even less credible.A recession is likely coming, but this book doesn't really present anything new for discussion. I expected so much more.

Just about finished with this book and really enjoyed it. Had read the one before this too. I then, out of curiosity, Googled "Harry Dent". You would not believe the number of articles on how many of his predictions have gone completely bust.I like his writing style and his level of confidence. I also like all the data he provides. I would take this book as "one more bit of data for your knowledge base" and not as the Bible as to where to put your money.

I felt like such a fool - I read this, believed it, and made the mistake of repeating some of the things from this book to some people who actually know things about finance and investing. When they found out where I got the ideas from, seriously, they almost wet their pants laughing at me. "Hoo hoooo - Carol bought a Harry Dent book! Hahahahaha!" Then I found out that he has written the same predictions with different dates for years. Years and years, in book after book. Nothing has ever come true the way Harry thought it would, but he is still selling books like crazy, to suckers like me. And like you, if you buy this book.

Harry creates a fear factor and then attempts to sell you his services to save the day. Old scare tactic that has been around for years. He already missed his prediction that the stock market bubble would bust the end of 2017. He does not know what triggers the bust and that is critical to forecasting markets. Book contains lots of historical graphs, but again hindsight is always a 100%. In general it is a good history of previous market busts, but I would not count on him to forecast future busts in a timely maner.

The Market cycles up & down eventually, simply wait and it will happen. This down trend was originally suppose to happen last year so this book HAD to be updated. The last chapter is only available online and it's a sales pitch for Dent's various newsletters. He has some interesting ideas. Do your own due diligence and you will grow your portfolio much better.

More of the same recycled predictions, of which I have yet to see any from prior books come to fruition anywhere near the timing stated.

Fascinating read but harry Dent spent 300+ pages defending his prediction and about 5 pages an action plan if he's correct. I'm glad it wasn't released to public until Jan. 2017 because for those who might have taken his advice in late 2016 would have missed out on the Q4 run up in the market after the election. I have read at least 2 of his earlier books and while I do believe there will be a correction in the market coming, it proves that no one, not even Harry Dent, can predict the future with certainty. Still an entertaining read though.

It’s fun to read self proclaimed experts when the book is around 2 years old. I hope nobody acted based on his recommendations. “ in 2017 the Dow will be down to 4,500” if you believed this and went to a cash position, you couldn’t ride the wave to 26,000 in 2017. It’s just a goood lesson about how you can’t believe these prognosticators.

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Kamis, 10 Januari 2019

PDF Download Warriors and Citizens: American Views of Our Military

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Warriors and Citizens: American Views of Our Military

About the Author

General Jim Mattis, the Davies Family Distinguished Visiting Fellow at the Hoover Institution, is an expert on national security issues, especially strategy, innovation, the effective use of military force, and the Middle East. He heads a project on the gap between civil and military perspectives and is writing a book on leadership. During the 2008 presidential election, Kori N Schake was senior policy adviser to the McCain-Palin campaign, responsible for policy development and outreach in the areas of foreign and defense policy.

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Product details

Hardcover: 360 pages

Publisher: Hoover Institution Press (August 1, 2016)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 0817919341

ISBN-13: 978-0817919344

Product Dimensions:

6 x 1.2 x 9 inches

Shipping Weight: 1.6 pounds (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

4.5 out of 5 stars

20 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#352,644 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

Full disclosure:I recruited for the AVF for five years, I ran a preparation course for AVF military academy aspirants for five years and was a contract counselor for AVF members and their families at two major bases for five years.On my desk I have a plaque given to me by my sons upon the occasion of my return from six years in Vietnam:“For those who have fought for it, freedom has a taste the protected will never know”If you are looking for J. N. Mattis aphorisms, truisms or witticisms, this is book is not for you. If you want a look at the operation of his “little grey cells” this will give you an insight into the thoughts of the contributors he edits regarding whom he says: “We chose the people we learn from.”What we have here is a Situation Report (SitRep) on the status of the greatest social experiment of our lifetime called “The All Volunteer Force”. I say greatest social experiment because what is at stake is the survival of our nation as we know it. Can this nation or any nation survive a continuum of internal and external threats protected by a mercenary armed force without a formal declaration of war? This tome gives a snap shot of one aspect as to the answer by addressing the question as to the current health of the relationship between the military and the civilian sectors of society.What seems to be missing is an evaluation of the impact of the political decision to selectively call up segments and individuals from the Reserve and National Guard communities to serve on active duty in the war zones. There are those who claim that one of the great failures of the Vietnam War was the decision to not activate the reserves and saddle the military with “Project 100,000” in an attempt to have a guns and butter society. This fainthearted approach satisfied no one. Forty years later we witnessed our neighbors silently disappearing for months and years at a time slipping off to war and then struggling to integrate back into the community and job with great difficulty. Qui bono?Additionally, we had myriads of service members serving joint duty in war zones with members trained in a manner totally different from them. In 2010 a senior combat officer remarked to me that the USMC could not function in the war zone without direct support of American sailors. He said: “You have more sailors ashore in the middle east in direct support of the USMC than you have on board commissioned ships!” [At that time we had about 300 ships of all kinds in commission.] What do those types of assignments do to unit cohesiveness, service identity and retention?The voices in this book are those that Shake and Mattis listen to which makes those voices worth our time to also listen and understand. After all you really get to know a person when you know what it is they are reading and to whom they are listening in addition to understanding that which they are thinking.Good read. Better to think about.I close with a Mattis thought lest you be too disappointed:"You cannot allow any of your people to avoid the brutal facts. If they start living in a dream world, it's going to be bad."

Indepth. For a casual reader like me it will take several readings, actually study to get the full benefit of this book. A most important subject which is becoming more so with the change in our administration. As a retired service member the perceptions of the citizens I served was always of interest. This book goes way into the weeds to get answers and perhaps will assist future leaders and others in maintaining the balance of understanding which is so critical to our nations defense posture.

Warriors and Citizens is a fascinating edited volume of American views of our military. Guided by a few themes that bind the separate contributions, this book breaks new ground in civil-military relations and raises questions that may plague the interagency decisionmaking process in the Trump administration. It is edited by Jim Mattis, now Secretary of Defense, and Dr. Kori Schake, who served at the White House, Department of Defense, and State Department. In 2017, Schake is a research fellow at the Hoover Institution.One of the themes in their introduction is a narrative for the individual chapters, “Choosing war is the business of elected politicians in America; fighting war is the business of our military.” But not so fast. One of the contributors suggests there must be interplay between the civilian and military, so the two can enhance the national interest. And within the executive branch, there needs to be recognition that civilian control of the military requires each side to know the other’s perspective.This situation is like a civil-military version of the chicken-and-egg problem. At issue is what comes first. Civilians in the executive branch want to give the president a sense of options; without knowledge of constraints and standard operating procedures of the military, however, the process can spiral into uncharted waters. With little comprehension of the complexities of military planning and operations, senior civilian leaders may overestimate military capabilities, such as establishing a safe zone to protect Syrians and other unfolding situations.Per a contributor, “Without political and strategic direction from the White House (How much money are we willing to spend? How many troops are we willing to move? What trade-offs are we willing to make in terms of other ongoing operations? What constitutes success?), military personnel could not properly advise their civilian counterparts.”The “what comes first issue” remained unresolved in the book. Let’s hope this issue is resolved for the first crisis bubbling up—establishing a safe zone in Syria. An inexperienced White House team of President Trump faces a seasoned military under its Secretary of Defense Gen. Jim Mattis and Joint Chiefs Chairman Gen. Joseph Dunford.Responding to the idea of establishing safe zones in Syria, Chairman Dunford testified before Congress in September 2016 that, “For us to control all of the airspace in Syria, it would require us to go to war against Syria and Russia, [and] that’s a pretty fundamental decision that certainly I’m not going make.” In late January 2017, President Trump decided to establish safe zones in a Syria to the consternation of military planners. Joint American-Russian airstrikes conducted in late January, however, could mitigate the risks, so long as the ceasefire holds.The bottom line? The Mattis-Schake volume is a riveting window into an uncertain future in civil-military relations that continues to unfold as breaking news each day. Hold on to your hats: There are bound to be more potential crises like the one in the making about safe zones in Syria!

Enjoyed the read. Thanks Chaos

Book was in excellent condition. Can't wait to get this autographed.

An interesting and important book. A great way to learn about a complex relationship that is central to American life.

Exceptional insight into the 'so-called" Military/Civilian gap. Every American should read this.

Great book, well written, honestly written.

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Senin, 24 Desember 2018

Ebook Free , by Diane Warner

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, by Diane Warner

Product details

File Size: 2319 KB

Print Length: 221 pages

Publisher: New Page Books; Revised edition (January 1, 2006)

Publication Date: December 31, 2005

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B001DAB71W

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#539,490 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

A very good collection of vows for young couples.It shows in all cultures the basic values of life, specially at the starting of family life are same.AND The set goals for all human beings are same and every couple promises with each other in same way.Weather they achieve them or not is the different question.A good and valuable collection for which author has done a good effort.

perfect

There were a lot of classic vows and some more original, but this book was not very helpful for the wedding I was helping plan.Judith Johnson's "The Wedding Ceremony Planner: The Essential Guide to the Most Important Part of Your Wedding Day" was perfect for our needs, however. Everyone was raving about the beautiful cerermony =)

I've used this book in the weddings I have performed in the past, and used it again for an upcoming one. Glad to have it, it's a nice tool to help out with writing the ceremony.

Gave great ideas for the wedding ceremony.

Lots of different kinds of ideas in this book!

Over 200 pages of vows and other helpful information packed into one little book! Well written, clear and easy to follow! I would recommend this to anyone wanting or needing assistance with their wedding.

This was ok, wasnt really what I was looking for but had some really beautiful vows that could be used or changed

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Kamis, 20 Desember 2018

Get Free Ebook Museum Store Management (American Association for State and Local History)

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Museum Store Management (American Association for State and Local History)

Review

This book fills a real void in museum professional literature. (Doug Harvey, Museum of the Confederacy, Richmond, VA)You have given a tremendous amount of useful information in a concise and friendly form. I do not think that anyone who reads this book and uses the information properly could not have a successful museum store. (May Reed, Store Manager, Museum of the Confederacy, Richmond, VA)

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About the Author

Mary Miley Theobald graduated from the College of William and Mary in Williamsburg, Virginia, then put her B.A. in American History and her M.A. in Administration and Interpretation of Historic Sites to good use across town at Colonial Williamsburg. She soon found that she liked history best when it made money for museums. Over the years she developed historically accurate products for the Historic Area stores, assisted in the opening of three 'new' historic shops, and learned a good deal about managing these nine establishments and training their costumed employees in historical interpretation. Today Theobald is an adjunct at Virginia Commonwealth University where she teaches American history and museum studies, a sometime museum store consultant, and a freelance writer.

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Product details

Series: American Association for State and Local History

Paperback: 288 pages

Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers; 2nd edition (September 26, 2000)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 074250431X

ISBN-13: 978-0742504318

Product Dimensions:

5.8 x 0.7 x 9 inches

Shipping Weight: 15.2 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

Average Customer Review:

5.0 out of 5 stars

2 customer reviews

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#363,693 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

This book is excellent for any museum that is starting a shop, or needs to update an existing one. As a Trustee of a small history museum, this book has shown me how we need to revise our current operations, change the focus of our inventory, and plan better for expansion.

I found the book full of great information. I am still going back to reread it over and over again.

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Jumat, 14 Desember 2018

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Product details

Series: Organizer for Salons (Book 1)

Paperback: 111 pages

Publisher: Independently published (January 2, 2019)

Language: English

ISBN-10: 1793061238

ISBN-13: 978-1793061232

Product Dimensions:

8.5 x 0.2 x 11 inches

Shipping Weight: 12.5 ounces (View shipping rates and policies)

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#27,258 in Books (See Top 100 in Books)

2019 Appointment book daily and hourly: Undated 52 Weeks Monday To Sunday 7AM To 8PM Appointment Planner Organizer 15 Minutes Sections. for Salons, Spas, Hair Stylist, Beauty (Organizer for Salons) PDF
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Rabu, 12 Desember 2018

Ebook Download

Ebook Download

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Product details

File Size: 5347 KB

Print Length: 254 pages

Publication Date: March 10, 2019

Sold by: Amazon Digital Services LLC

Language: English

ASIN: B07PLMYPST

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Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

#47,078 Paid in Kindle Store (See Top 100 Paid in Kindle Store)

One of the 'end of the world as we know it' stories. This one was fast paced, had plenty of action and in the end, managed to seed hope even with all the adventures in the story. I have kept it on my Kindle so that means I will read it again before sending it to the Cloud! Ha.

Truly interesting characters!Great plot that appeals to a wide audience.It's an easy read that kept me engaged to the end.

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Sabtu, 08 Desember 2018

Download PDF The Life of Elizabeth I

Download PDF The Life of Elizabeth I

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The Life of Elizabeth I

The Life of Elizabeth I


The Life of Elizabeth I


Download PDF The Life of Elizabeth I

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The Life of Elizabeth I

Product details

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Audible Audiobook

Listening Length: 23 hours and 57 minutes

Program Type: Audiobook

Version: Unabridged

Publisher: Recorded Books

Audible.com Release Date: June 26, 2012

Language: English, English

ASIN: B008EQVSL2

Amazon Best Sellers Rank:

A fascinating and well-written biography that is thorough and exhaustively detailed without losing the slightly informal and chatty style that makes it such easy and entertaining reading. In addition to press or other previously published reports, the author has amassed an enormous collection of insider interviews, quotations, observations, anecdotes, and private and public incidents and arranged them chronologically from the Queen's childhood to the present. There are also many interesting insights into how the Palace functions and how the machinery that drives the monarchy operates.An amazing number of the more than 200 sources agreed to be named (though about 40 did not); there was some cooperation from the Palace; and a number of previously private personal papers and correspondence were made available. There are almost 100 pages of acknowledgments, source notes, bibliography and index.Given the richness and abundance of the material, Bedell-Smith, more or less, lets the sources tell the story with only minimal input and interpretations on her part. Some opinions do show through, such as the belief that Prince Phillip is more human than usually perceived and Diana more emotionally damaged (maybe even suffering from mental illness) than usually believed.While, obviously, all members and generations of the Royal family form part of the Queen's story, the biography is very scrupulously Elizabeth II-centric. All others seem to exist only as her relatives and people who impact her life. Prince Charles and Prince William are the only two exceptions as they are the people who are expected to step into her shoes. I found this to be among the more fascinating parts of the book. The contrasts between the styles and personalities of the Queen and her heir are striking and, though they share a sense of duty and dedication, the differences don't promise a seamless transition (especially in the areas of discretion and humility).The author makes valiant attempts at objective scholarship, but a basic fondness and respect comes through her words. Still, she manages to portray the Queen as a human being, not a larger than life heroine. She is simply a human being uniquely disposed by training, experience, and character to maintain the balance between historical tradition and modern relevance--and to do so with more heart and a better mind that she is usually credited with.I had read an excerpt of this book in Vanity Fair and had high expectations. I wasn't disappointed and don't think you will be either.

It seems to me that Amazon has mistakenly mashed together the reviews of two different books. If you look at the reviews for this book, half of them are for a book about Elizabeth I and half of them are reviews of a book about Elizabeth II written by a wholly different author. Please fix this Amazon!

In truth, there are very few people in this world whom I admire as much as I do Her Majesty Queen Elizabeth II. I have read many books and seen many movies, documentaries and other films, and this book was one of my favorite to read. I find that this book paints a larger yet more defined picture of the longest reigning Queen in British history. HM the Queen is so much more than what many people might believe. Being an Englishman, living among Americans, I've found that from a lot of their points of view, as with many, from the outside looking in HM seems to be not much more than a rather pointless figurehead, an echo of a no longer relevant institution. With that being said, I would most certainly recommend this book, and other books like it as it helps to give a deeper and more dynamic picture of a likewise Queen and institution which she serves.

While I am not into Royalty and see them as an anachronism, I found it very interesting to find the public person so very different than from her private self. The history of her reign, the succession of prime ministers and their relationships with her, follows what I witnessed from afar and was therefore very interesting reading. I am about 10 years her junior and remember the fairy tale wedding, tempered by recent wartime restrictions, and a few years later the coronation with the usual pomp and circumstance.Later on I lived in London for a while and saw her (again, from afar) on several occasions, and she was indeed a very pretty young woman. It was then still the custom to stand up when she appeared on a screen, even in one's own living room.The book is well written but obviously the author is totally smitten with her, rarely finding anything negative to say - understandable since the Queen is still alive, But let's face, nobody is perfect.Whether or not the British people will continue to tolerate the enormous expense of supporting not only their Monarch's household but those of her children and grandchildren, remains to be seen.To sum up, I found the book very interesting reading revealing a private person of great appeal, someone I could really like. But, as is often asked: Why can't she smile more in public?

Great book. The many arduous duties of a monarch are shown with empathy and in great detail. Gives us a good picture of a life well lived, and a woman who puts Duty to her country and her role first, yet manages to maintain a stable family life, within the boundaries of the things she is able to control. There are some factual errors: I have heard people who were at events author descr8ibed recount different truths as they saw and experienced them. Perhaps her sources at some points weren't good. Still a great read.

I was very disappointed. This book doesn’t really tell you anything you didn’t already know about Elizabeth. She is a very discreet person who unexpectedly became Queen and does a marvelous job. She was a very absentee, distant parent but now gets along with her children. Her greatest loves are Phillip, horses and corgis. I find it hard to believe that everyone she has ever had dealings with loves her but the author thinks so. If Elizabeth were running for office, they could release this as a campaign bio!

A very lengthy but interesting book detailing the reign of Queen Elizabeth. I really enjoyed reading this book and learned so much about The English Commonwealth and the Monarchy. GreT book if you are a history buff!

Eminently readable, this is an important look at the Queen's long life. It is a detailed description of not only the Queen but those who have had a place in her life. Her family, politicians, courtiers and friends are given their place in an incredible life .

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